Observations on Opportunities and Challenges of EV in Africa
Mar 04-2025
In recent years, with the rapid global expansion of China's new energy vehicle industry, "going overseas" has become a strategic consensus among Chinese automotive companies and their supply chain partners. As a region with 1.4 billion people, many African countries currently exhibit economic development levels comparable to those of China during the 1980s-1990s, presenting substantial market potential.
Ms. Wang Jinjie, Deputy Secretary-General of the The Centre for African Studies of Peking University(PKUCAS), identifies Africa as a promising long-term market for entrepreneurial ventures. She highlights three key advantages: First, Africa's demographic dividend of 1.4 billion people, predominantly youthful, offers both a substantial consumer base and abundant labor resources for sustainable development. Second, the continent's rich mineral reserves hold strategic significance for optimizing China's industrial structure, particularly in the NEV sector. Finally, engagement with Africa and other developing regions aligns with broader geopolitical trends. While initial challenges exist, Ms. Wang Jinjie notes that national policies increasingly support corporate ventures into these markets through initiatives like the Belt and Road program.
Ms. Wang further observes that as traditional export markets in Europe and North America face constraints, developing economies are gaining importance for China's foreign trade growth. The Belt and Road Initiative continues to create new opportunities in these regions.
Entrepreneurs Liu Hui and Liu Yiyang emphasize practical considerations for African investments. During field research in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia's capital, they observed a diverse vehicle mix ranging from 1970s models to 2010s-era cars along major thoroughfares, with Chinese brands becoming increasingly visible. However, Mr. Liu Hui expressed reservations about market entry in Nigeria, citing security concerns for both personnel and assets. Despite these challenges, he identified significant opportunities in automotive aftermarket services. African countries maintain heavy reliance on imported vehicles (both new and used), yet local maintenance capabilities remain underdeveloped. Most workshops only provide basic repairs, creating a service gap that Chinese companies could potentially address. As Chinese automakers expand African operations through exports and local production, corresponding growth in technical support services, including skills training and workshop development, could emerge as a complementary growth sector.